How Arsenal can avoid top-four drama with Tottenham on final day of Premier League season

football.london   15/05/2022 06:00

The penultimate fixtures in this season's Premier League for Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur are upon us which means this weekend could be decisive in the top-four battle.

Whilst Chelsea can still mathematically be caught in third, their superior goal difference means they realistically need one point from their remaining two games to guarantee Champions League qualification. Therefore, it will be between the north London pair as to who joins them at Europe's top table for next season.

As things currently stand, Arsenal are the favourites due to the having points on the board and having to rely on their own results. They could have wrapped up a top-four finish with victory in the derby on Thursday night, but the 3-0 reverse has set up an intriguing climax to the 2021/22 Premier League campaign.

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What most Gunners supporters will be pointing out is losing to Spurs may not be too damaging when it's all said and done. That's thanks to the four-point cushion they had established ahead of kick-off by beating Leeds United last weekend to capitalise on their big rivals drawing 1-1 with Liverpool.

So even with Harry Kane and Son Heung-min keeping the top-four race alive, the pressure is still on Spurs to beat both Burnley and Norwich City as well as hoping for a slip-up from Arsenal in their final two fixtures against Newcastle United and an Everton side that may still be battling for survival.

With Tottenham first to play this weekend, should they overcome the Clarets at home they will be two points clear of the Gunners ahead of their trip to St James' Park. In this scenario, Mikel Arteta's side must pick up maximum points in order to wrestle back control of the top-four race and ensure the battle goes down to the final day.

As both sides are in action against Everton and Norwich respectively at the same time next Sunday afternoon, any goal scored will create tension inside the Emirates Stadium and at Carrow Road with supporters anxiously awaiting updates from either game. However, there is one scenario that would allow Arteta, the Arsenal players and fans to be in a relaxed mood before a ball is even kicked against Toffees.

If Spurs were to lose at home against Burnley and the Gunners beat Newcastle on Monday night then the four-point cushion would be restored and with one game to play it would be mathematically impossible for the Lilywhites to finish any higher than fifth this season.

The other ideal scenario for Arteta's side before they play their fixture is a draw between Spurs and Burnley as that would create a situation where four points from the final two games will be enough to confirm the first St Totteringham's Day - the name given to the day when it becomes mathematically impossible for Tottenham to finish above Arsenal in the Premier League table - since May 2016

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